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シナガワ シュンスケ
Shinagawa Shunsuke 品川 俊介 所属 神奈川大学 経済学部 経済学科/現代ビジネス学科 神奈川大学大学院 経済学研究科 経済学専攻(公共政策コース) 職種 准教授 |
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言語種別 | 英語 |
発行・発表の年月 | 2019/10 |
形態種別 | 学術雑誌 |
査読 | 査読あり |
標題 | Policy Lag and Sustained Growth |
執筆形態 | 共著 |
掲載誌名 | Italian Economic Journal |
掲載区分 | 国外 |
出版社・発行元 | Springer |
巻・号・頁 | 5(3),pp.403-431 |
著者・共著者 | Shunsuke Shinagawa
Eiji Tsuzuki |
概要 | This study provides a theoretical analysis of economic stability when a fiscal policy lag and sustained economic growth coexist. We develop a New Keynesian model by introducing economic growth based on an exogenous factor and a fiscal policy rule with a delay in policy reaction. We clarify the effect of these factors on economic stability by performing a dynamic analysis of the delay-differential equation system derived from the developed model. Our study has several contributions. First, this study contributes an analysis of the effect of a policy lag on stability. When the economy does not grow, a large policy lag destabilizes the economy. However, in a sustainably growing economy, a large policy lag may eliminate instability and contribute to economic stability. Second, we show that a change in the economic growth rate can affect economic stability under a policy lag. This new finding runs contrary to the usual results from growth models without a policy lag. |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1007/s40797-019-00092-1 |