 
|
|
|
フジエ リョウ
Fujie Ryo 藤江 遼 所属 神奈川大学 工学部 経営工学科 職種 助教 |
|
| 言語種別 | 英語 |
| 発行・発表の年月 | 2007/02 |
| 形態種別 | 学術雑誌 |
| 査読 | 査読あり |
| 標題 | Effects of Superspreaders in Spread of Epidemic |
| 執筆形態 | 共著 |
| 掲載誌名 | Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications |
| 掲載区分 | 国外 |
| 巻・号・頁 | 374(2),pp.843-852 |
| 著者・共著者 | R. Fujie and T. Odagaki |
| 概要 | Within the standard SIR model with spatial structure, we propose two models for the superspreader. In one model, superspreaders have intrinsically strong infectiousness. In other model, they have many social connections. By Monte Carlo simulation, we obtain the percolation probability, the propagation speed, the epidemic curve, the distribution of secondary infected and the propagation path as functions of population and the density of superspreaders. By comparing the results with the data of SARS in Singapore 2003, we conclude that the latter model can explain the observation. |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.physa.2006.08.050 |
Copyright © Kanagawa University. All Rights Reserved.