シナガワ シュンスケ   Shinagawa Shunsuke
  品川 俊介
   所属   神奈川大学  経済学部 経済学科/現代ビジネス学科
    神奈川大学大学院  経済学研究科 経済学専攻(公共政策コース)
   職種   准教授
言語種別 英語
発行・発表の年月 2019/10
形態種別 学術雑誌
査読 査読あり
標題 Policy Lag and Sustained Growth
執筆形態 共著
掲載誌名 Italian Economic Journal
掲載区分国外
出版社・発行元 Springer
巻・号・頁 5(3),pp.403-431
著者・共著者 Shunsuke Shinagawa
Eiji Tsuzuki
概要 This study provides a theoretical analysis of economic stability when a fiscal policy lag and sustained economic growth coexist. We develop a New Keynesian model by introducing economic growth based on an exogenous factor and a fiscal policy rule with a delay in policy reaction. We clarify the effect of these factors on economic stability by performing a dynamic analysis of the delay-differential equation system derived from the developed model. Our study has several contributions. First, this study contributes an analysis of the effect of a policy lag on stability. When the economy does not grow, a large policy lag destabilizes the economy. However, in a sustainably growing economy, a large policy lag may eliminate instability and contribute to economic stability. Second, we show that a change in the economic growth rate can affect economic stability under a policy lag. This new finding runs contrary to the usual results from growth models without a policy lag.
DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/s40797-019-00092-1